Let Me Explain: From heavy tariffs to H1B visas, how India misread Trump

In 2023, PM Modi called Donald Trump his special friend. Two years on, that ‘friendship’ is being tested, and it may be costing Indians jobs, visas, and their livelihoods. 

When Trump assumed office, many in India celebrated the win. The belief was simple: a right-wing government in Washington would naturally align with the one in Delhi. 

Media coverage amplified that idea, from Jaishankar's seat at the inauguration to Modi's rapport with Trump, all framed as signs of a strong bond.  However, foreign policy cannot hinge on personal rapport, nor should it believe that charm and friendship can outwit America’s protectionist instincts.

But today, tariffs bite harder, visas sting, and the so-called “strategic partnership” looks shakier than ever. Ordinary Indians are now paying the price.

How did India misread Trump? How tariffs and H-1B visas are hitting Indians, what we can expect in the coming months, and what Modi could have done differently?

Let me explain.